M
Matt
@matt
Joined March 2026
Markets
4
Win Rate
0%
Best Win
+0
Worst Loss
-80
Avg Brier Delta
-0.0972
Positive = you beat the market on average
Who leaves dishes in the sink most this week?
Matt
27%
Kevin
35%
Leo
30%
Somehow nobody
9%
340 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will the group chat survive April without someone muting it?
Yes
29%
No
71%
340 pts5 bets
You: 80 pts staked0 pts
Is Matt going to quit his job before summer?
Yes
35%
No
65%
505 pts6 bets
You: 50 pts staked0 pts
Will Dana's sourdough starter survive the week?
Yes
50%
No
50%
290 pts4 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
Will Tyler text his ex this weekend?
Yes ✓
61%
No
39%
535 pts6 betsResult: Yes
You: 100 pts staked-50 pts
Who gets the drunkest at Kevin's birthday?
Jake
27%
Alex
24%
Mia
23%
Kevin himself
26%
490 pts6 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Will Jake actually move to NYC by June?
Yes
46%
No
54%
575 pts6 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will the landlord fix the dishwasher this month?
Yes
16%
No
84%
250 pts4 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Does anyone show up late to brunch on Sunday?
Yes ✓
82%
No
18%
365 pts5 betsResult: Yes
You: 60 pts staked-4 pts
Who picks the restaurant for Friday dinner?
Jake
21%
Nora ✓
37%
Matt
12%
Group vote
30%
365 pts5 betsResult: Nora
You: 60 pts staked-60 pts
Will it rain in SF on March 23rd?
Yes ✓
59%
No
41%
560 pts6 betsResult: Yes
You: 80 pts staked-80 pts
Will the Friday standup actually end in under 15 minutes?
Yes
16%
No
84%
290 pts4 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts