A
Alex
@alex
Joined March 2026
Markets
2
Win Rate
100%
Best Win
+230
Worst Loss
0
Avg Brier Delta
+0.3438
Positive = you beat the market on average
Will the group chat survive April without someone muting it?
Yes
29%
No
71%
340 pts5 bets
You: 50 pts staked0 pts
Will Mia actually go skydiving?
Yes
62%
No
38%
580 pts6 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will Sarah get promoted this cycle?
Yes
60%
No
40%
505 pts5 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Does someone bring an uninvited plus-one to the BBQ?
Yes
61%
No
39%
315 pts4 bets
You: 80 pts staked0 pts
Will Priya finish the half marathon under 2 hours?
Yes
56%
No
44%
515 pts5 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
How many dates does Alex go on this month?
0
16%
1-2
37%
3-4
30%
5+
17%
415 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Who's bringing the best dish to Saturday's potluck?
Nora's pasta
26%
Jake's tacos
27%
Priya's curry
26%
Leo's ribs
21%
610 pts6 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will the Uber take longer than 20 min to arrive Friday night?
Yes
66%
No ✓
34%
290 pts4 betsResult: No
You: 60 pts staked+230 pts
Who picks the restaurant for Friday dinner?
Jake
21%
Nora ✓
37%
Matt
12%
Group vote
30%
365 pts5 betsResult: Nora
You: 50 pts staked+22 pts