K
Kevin
@kevin
Joined March 2026
Markets
4
Win Rate
0%
Best Win
+0
Worst Loss
-100
Avg Brier Delta
-0.3048
Positive = you beat the market on average
Will Kevin actually wake up before 8am for the hike?
Yes
26%
No
74%
290 pts4 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Is Matt going to quit his job before summer?
Yes
35%
No
65%
505 pts6 bets
You: 120 pts staked0 pts
Will Chris and Dana get back together?
Yes
42%
No
58%
575 pts7 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
What time does the pregame actually start (not the invite time)?
Before 8pm
5%
8-9pm
21%
9-10pm
44%
After 10pm
30%
290 pts4 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
Can Leo eat 50 wings in one sitting?
Yes
54%
No
46%
655 pts6 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Where does the friend group go for spring break?
Cabo
27%
Tahoe
29%
Austin
19%
Nowhere (can't agree)
26%
475 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will Tyler text his ex this weekend?
Yes ✓
61%
No
39%
535 pts6 betsResult: Yes
You: 60 pts staked-60 pts
How many dates does Alex go on this month?
0
16%
1-2
37%
3-4
30%
5+
17%
415 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Will Jake actually move to NYC by June?
Yes
46%
No
54%
575 pts6 bets
You: 50 pts staked0 pts
Will the Uber take longer than 20 min to arrive Friday night?
Yes
66%
No ✓
34%
290 pts4 betsResult: No
You: 100 pts staked-100 pts
Will the landlord fix the dishwasher this month?
Yes
16%
No
84%
250 pts4 bets
You: 50 pts staked0 pts
Does anyone show up late to brunch on Sunday?
Yes ✓
82%
No
18%
365 pts5 betsResult: Yes
You: 80 pts staked-80 pts
Will it rain in SF on March 23rd?
Yes ✓
59%
No
41%
560 pts6 betsResult: Yes
You: 60 pts staked-60 pts
Will the Friday standup actually end in under 15 minutes?
Yes
16%
No
84%
290 pts4 bets
You: 80 pts staked0 pts