M
Mia
@mia
Joined March 2026
Markets
5
Win Rate
60%
Best Win
+147
Worst Loss
-75
Avg Brier Delta
+0.0950
Positive = you beat the market on average
Who leaves dishes in the sink most this week?
Matt
27%
Kevin
35%
Leo
30%
Somehow nobody
9%
340 pts5 bets
You: 80 pts staked0 pts
Will Kevin actually wake up before 8am for the hike?
Yes
26%
No
74%
290 pts4 bets
You: 50 pts staked0 pts
Will the group chat survive April without someone muting it?
Yes
29%
No
71%
340 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Is Matt going to quit his job before summer?
Yes
35%
No
65%
505 pts6 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Will Mia actually go skydiving?
Yes
62%
No
38%
580 pts6 bets
You: 150 pts staked0 pts
Will Dana's sourdough starter survive the week?
Yes
50%
No
50%
290 pts4 bets
You: 80 pts staked0 pts
Will Chris and Dana get back together?
Yes
42%
No
58%
575 pts7 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Will Sarah get promoted this cycle?
Yes
60%
No
40%
505 pts5 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Does someone bring an uninvited plus-one to the BBQ?
Yes
61%
No
39%
315 pts4 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
What time does the pregame actually start (not the invite time)?
Before 8pm
5%
8-9pm
21%
9-10pm
44%
After 10pm
30%
290 pts4 bets
You: 100 pts staked0 pts
Can Leo eat 50 wings in one sitting?
Yes
54%
No
46%
655 pts6 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Where does the friend group go for spring break?
Cabo
27%
Tahoe
29%
Austin
19%
Nowhere (can't agree)
26%
475 pts5 bets
You: 120 pts staked0 pts
Will Tyler text his ex this weekend?
Yes ✓
61%
No
39%
535 pts6 betsResult: Yes
You: 80 pts staked+147 pts
How many dates does Alex go on this month?
0
16%
1-2
37%
3-4
30%
5+
17%
415 pts5 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Will Jake actually move to NYC by June?
Yes
46%
No
54%
575 pts6 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Who's bringing the best dish to Saturday's potluck?
Nora's pasta
26%
Jake's tacos
27%
Priya's curry
26%
Leo's ribs
21%
610 pts6 bets
You: 60 pts staked0 pts
Will the Uber take longer than 20 min to arrive Friday night?
Yes
66%
No ✓
34%
290 pts4 betsResult: No
You: 50 pts staked-50 pts
Does anyone show up late to brunch on Sunday?
Yes ✓
82%
No
18%
365 pts5 betsResult: Yes
You: 75 pts staked-75 pts
Will anyone cry at Nora's wedding?
Yes
80%
No
20%
365 pts5 bets
You: 75 pts staked0 pts
Who picks the restaurant for Friday dinner?
Jake
21%
Nora ✓
37%
Matt
12%
Group vote
30%
365 pts5 betsResult: Nora
You: 75 pts staked+27 pts