Prophecy
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ARC Prize Foundation

Will ARC Prize Foundation announce a funding round by May 1st, 2026?

AI benchmarks that measure general intelligence and inspire new ideas

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Created by Prophecy

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Implied Probability

No announcement
40%
Under $4M
25%
$4M – $10M
25%
$10M+
10%
100 pts pool
1 bet
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Recent Bets

Prophecy
100 pts
No announcement: 40%Under $4M: 25%$4M – $10M: 25%$10M+: 10%
Mar 23, 3:59 AM